So Luxon Won His Confidence Vote!

Prime Minister Luxon called for a confidence vote in caucus related to his leadership of the National led coalition government last week and won the vote.

What does this mean for Mr Luxon?

He came out of the caucus meeting and proudly confirmed that he had won the vote and that the question of who will lead the current government into the next election on November 7th this year was now put to bed permanently.

But what does this actually mean for the government?

About all it really does is to stop the mainstream media pundits from rabbiting on about his leadership and whether he is going to be dropped by the government.

This confidence vote doesn’t stop the MP’s that were supposedly agitating against him from continuing to try to unseat him.

It doesn’t do anything about the fact that he has not carried out any of his promises regards the race based legislation which he made prior to the last election.

It doesn’t stop his poll numbers from dropping further and if that should occur, how low will they go before the party decides it’s had enough?

Some background to the issues behind the vote

As I stated in previous articles when you dig deeper than just the results of the polls I believe that the most important driver behind the drop in National’s numbers is their failure to action their pre-election promises made before the 2023 election.

In my opinion there were, broadly, two main issues that needed to be addressed and which were the subject of much of the election manifesto promises made by the parties in the current coalition government.

The Two main Issues

I believe were the state of the national economy and the racial divisions being created in New Zealand by the previous government.

The Economy!

The Prime Minister Mr Luxon, many times stated that the biggest issue for his party and any government led by him, was the economy and that he saw this as the priority target.

In 2017 when the previous Labour Government came to power, crown spending was $76 billion per year. In 2023 it had grown to $139 billion per year, which equates to a $63 billion annual increase (over $1 billion extra spend every week!) In 2017, NZ’s government debt stood at $112 billion. At the time of the last election, excluding any accounting tricks, that debt had doubled at $224 billion or $115,000 per household.

Meanwhile, in 2017 individual tax payers paid the government $33 billion. By 2023 this had gone up 67% to $55 billion to help fund Labours spending.

Under the Labour government NZ had the highest rate of inflation ever and the cost of living had gone beyond most people’s ability to provide a comfortable standard of living for themselves and families.

Government in New Zealand now accounts for approximately 40% of everything our economy produces.

The coalition government has made good decisions which will over time provide a far greater level of stability to our economy but which have the problem that they don’t provide much relief to the taxpayers in the immediate future.

The average citizen is still finding it very difficult to keep a roof over their heads and food on their tables. Whilst the economic decisions that the coalition government have made, will provide long term relief to our level of indebtedness as a country, they will not provide much help with the current poll results.

Unfortunately for both the coalition government and the NZ population there have been geopolitical issues such as the wars in Ukraine and Iran which have had a severe impact on the government’s ability to improve the economic situation in the immediate future.

Racial divisions!

The coalition partners made a promise to stop the tribal takeover.

This is what National, ACT and New Zealand First promised to do when they agreed to prioritise “Ending race-based policies” in their Coalition Agreement.

When it comes to the pre-election promises to end race based laws and practices the coalition government has failed dismally.

Historical basics

NZ has a number of Maori electorates which were created in 1867 as a temporary bridge for Maori men who were excluded from voting in general elections by the property qualification.

These seats lost all justification the moment every adult New Zealander gained the vote on equal terms.

They are a 19th-century anachronism that should have been abolished twice—first when universal suffrage arrived in 1893, and again when MMP was adopted in 1996. They are racist by design, divisive by operation, and the breeding ground for the ethnic grievance industry now dominating our politics.

Parliament, for whatever reasons, kept them. The introduction of MMP promised genuine proportionality—every vote counting without gerrymandered fiefdoms—yet the seats survived, sustained by a separate Maori roll and the rule that lets a party retain list seats after winning just one electorate. This is not democracy; it is a state-subsidised racial quota.

The result is a deliberate fracturing of the nation into rival ethnic groupings. Instead of one sovereign people bound by shared citizenship, we have parallel systems with separate electorates.

In recent times since the introduction of the Waitangi Tribunal we have seen calls for co-governance, race-based funding, and creeping demands for separate law based on Maori Tikanga.

Democracy demands that the state treat citizens as sovereign individuals, equal before the law, with rights to life, liberty and property irrespective of bloodline. Allocating power, resources and outcomes based on ancestry turns the state into an ethnic arbiter which is incompatible with freedom.

We now have unelected chiefs with big budgets and vast power not by merit but through Maori funding and the patronage and corruption of the body politic that is the inevitable result. Newly minted chiefs get to decide which projects get the go ahead and what policies make it into law.

Te Pati Maori exists solely because of these seats. Its MPs are not statesmen building a united nation; they are race hustlers whose business model is to inflame division, stoke extremism, and harvest resentment from a captive, race-defined electorate. Race-baiting is not a bug—it is the predictable feature when survival depends on keeping the ethnic pot boiling.

New Zealand was founded on the liberal promise of equal citizenship under one law for all. The Maori seats mock that promise. Abolish them. Place every voter on the general roll. Force every candidate to appeal to New Zealanders irrespective of their ancestry.

Equal rights or ethnic division—there is no third way. The time for deference and soft talk is finished. Scrap the seats.

Reality of Racial Division in New Zealand

It is safe to say that most people want to live peaceful, happy and productive lives regardless of race and to do that race/ethnicity should be irrelevant.

And yet we are being increasingly divided, forced to take sides, as either black or white when in fact life is mainly grey. Without some measure of compromise between races, society as we know it couldn’t exist.

We seem to have developed a section of the population in New Zealand which believes in “Critical Race Theory”.

Critical Race Theory; what is it?

Critical race theory seeks to link racism, race, and power. Critical race theorists challenge the very foundations of democracy. Critical race theorists argue that social life, political structures, and economic systems are founded upon race, which (in their view) is a social construct.

The previous Labour government passed much legislation that was undemocratic and race based. The reasons for this being stated as redressing historical wrongs of institutional racism against Maori.

A classic example of this being the “He Pua Pua” report

How is CRT affecting us?

CRT advocates incorporate its key elements into policies, training programs & manuals and standard operating procedures. Their efforts being advanced under various euphemisms such as cultural competency training and diversity, equity, and inclusion. There’s this revolving language system that they use to confuse, avoid, and obfuscate. They use it because they refuse to defend their race theory on its own merits because even they know that it’s indefensible politically.

The previous Labour government denied that the He Pua Pua report was in any way government policy, yet they took action in different ways that seem to respond to the recommendations within the He Pua Pua report.

It asserted that Maori chiefs did not cede sovereignty in signing the Treaty but rather entered into some kind of “partnership” with the Crown.

Social license to operate

This normally refers to the ongoing acceptance of a company or industry's standard business practices and operating procedures by its employees, stakeholders, and the general public.

This is also true for governments.

Governments get elected by the people to act on behalf of the people to ensure the greater good for the majority of the people. To get elected parties produce a list of policies which they then promote to the general public as being the items that they will address if elected.

When a government is elected they have the ability to change their list of policies or priorities as long as they can achieve a majority vote in the parliament.

Once government is elected, as long as they are able to continue to achieve a majority vote, then they are able to govern and continue to do so until the next election and this would be the government’s equivalent of operating within their Social Licence.

There are two ways that any government can be removed from office; lose an election or lose a vote of no confidence in the house of parliament.

Both of those come about from a loss of social licence to operate which is usually due to the general public being dissatisfied with government policy.

It is very unusual for a government to face a vote of no confidence in our parliament but not so unusual that they lose an election, with both outcomes being from the loss of their Social Licence to operate.

This Loss of Social Licence to operate normally comes from a majority of the population becoming disenchanted with government policy and the implementation of that policy.

I believe that New Zealand has reached the point where there is major disenchantment with the current government’s policies.

Coalition Government’s Social Licence to Operate

The previous Labour Government passed much legislation through Parliament with the assumption that all people are not free and equal; that some were more equal than others not based on the matters before them, not based on any particular expertise they may have had, but based on ethnic background.

The previous Labour government promoted a 50/50 system of race based governance presided over by a tribal elite of unelected Maori representatives which would have been bad for the majority of the Maori population and also New Zealand’s other races.

The challenge for the current Coalition Government if they wish to retain their social licence to operate/win the 2026 election; is to defend their decision to not remove the apartheid based legislative systems as they promised to do in their pre-election manifestos.

Supporting their Social Licence to Operate

There is still time to be honest and carry out their pre-election promises to end race based laws and practices, dump all systems of race based governance, stop promoting policies of division and return to supporting the democratic rights of all on an equal basis.

It is not too late for such action to have a real effect. By allowing the continuation of the Apartheid systems of governance instituted under the previous Labour government, it has only made the division between Maori and other races get much wider.

To treat Maori equally with other races does not require race based apartheid governance systems, although it may require specifically targeted programs to address the issues.

This comes back to this simple idea of democratic equality for all as set out in the New Zealand Bill of Rights.

We do not need to destroy Democracy in New Zealand to achieve the desired results just use the resources that we have, wisely, for the benefit of all citizens equally.

Looking Forward to Election 2026

Mr Luxon may have won his confidence vote in the Caucus but he is facing a much stiffer task to win back the coalition government’s social licence to operate at the general election on 7th November. Failure in this vote will likely see him and a large number of his MPs looking at the dole que come November 8th 2026.

The Coalition government was elected to undo the damage caused by six years of Labour. It’s what the voters expected them to do. And while they claim to be addressing the issues - and to be fair, repairing a severely broken country is not a minor fix - there is widespread frustration that they continue to fall short.

The reality the Coalition had to deal with was that when Jacinda Ardern was in office, she embedded political loyalists deep within the machinery of government. Her focus on identity politics - that cultural-Marxist framework that divides people by race, gender, and sexuality - led to a rapid expansion of radicalised public servants. Many of the 20,000 additional staff hired over that period was committed activists.

Axing this army of radicals - and the programmes they run – would not only have saved taxpayers more than $1.5 billion a year in wages alone, but it would have significantly curtailed the extremism that seems to infect much of the State sector.

The coalition can still turn it around by enacting their pre-election promises, but time is rapidly running out.